Well, how ’bout them Broncos? I had a feeling +9 was a Lock, but an outright win…unbelievable. $100 on the moneyline would have won $350. Will Denver’s “luck” continue in New England? Probably not…but it makes for great sport. Lets take a look at this game and the other three coming this weekend.
Denver @ New England: Its looking to be close to 20 degrees when these two kick off Saturday night. This may play into DEN favor given their prevalence toward the run. Everyone knows NE has a poor pass defense, but they are average (17th) against the run. They allow only 21 points/game, so this leads one to believe they are giving up yardage all over, but shutting down in the red zone. NE is averaging 32 points/game which explains their 13-3 record. I dont see DEN coming close to winning this one, but NE -13.5 is a stretch. This game may have the look of the NE/IND game from Week 13. NE held a huge lead until the 4th when Dan Orlovsky lit things up and IND covered the -20.5, 31-24. So, if you’re a gambler…DEN +13.5 & over 50
Saturday 4:30p New Orleans @ San Francisco: This has all the makings of a phenomenal game. Harbaugh’s defense is going to be so excited, as will the SF fans with their 1st home playoff game since the “Comeback” of 2002. I turned the game off, only to miss Garcia lead a great 24-point comeback against the Giants. I don’t see Smith finding himself in that kind of hole, but New Orleans certainly could do it. And, as if San Francisco needed any more motivation…they are 4-point DOGS! New Orleans hasnt won a road playoff game in their history and they wont win this week. I like Drew Brees and the Saints have been fun to watch, but they are paper champs. Outside of beating DET in week 13, the Saints havent had to beat anyone of quality. SF will probably leave the sprinklers on all night to “slow” down New Orleans. Im taking SF +4 & over 47 (but it’ll be close).
On to Sunday
Houston @ Baltimore 1pm: There isnt a whole lot to say here. Baltimore is hungry, Ray Lewis wants to retire on top, and Houston is allowing 96 rush yards per game. Once Ray Rice gets rolling down hill, the passing game will open for Flacco and Baltimore wins @ home. Houston put on a great performance against CIN last week. But, lets be honest…they have a rookie QB who will be lucky to still have his head attached when this one’s over. We have all seen some flaws in Baltimore’s run defense this year (especially @ SD). With PIT out, Baltimore knows they have the recipe to defeat New England (next week) and get to Indianapolis. On a side note, I find it Ironic that the Baltimore Ravens could win a Super bowl in Indianapolis, the town that stole them…HOU +9 & the under of 36.
NYGiants @ Green Bay 4:30pm: Very unfortunate circumstances surround GB this week with the untimely passing of their coach’s son. Its a terrible thing to lose a child and I couldnt imagine what he and his family are going through. That being said, I dont think GB needed any added motivation for this game (or season), but now they have it. The only way the Giants win this game is if they can dominate Up front with only four rushers. They have had success with it lately, since Osi returned…but that was versus the Jets and an injured Cowboys team. The Giants have been spread thin at corner and safety all season. Teams have shown that pressuring GB’s wideouts at the line can disrupt the rhythm, but NYG may not have the depth to do so throughout all four quarters. GB -7.5 & the under 53.
Best of Luck with all of your picks and Fantasy playoff leagues
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